Election 2008 Predictions

The following is my prediction of the 2008 Election. I plan to expand on this later on, before the election.

Barack Obama will win the election in a landslide, winning 350 electoral votes and the swing states of Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, Missouri, Ohio, New Hampshire, Florida, North Carolina and Virginia. The Democrats will win about 6 new senate, making them have 56 in total, seat and several new House of Representative seats also.

The Libertarian Party’s Bob Barr will come in third place, receiving almost 1,000,000 votes, beating Ed Clark’s 1980 vote total but not his percentage of the total vote (1.1%). Independent Ralph Nader will come in fourth place with around 750,000 votes beating his 2004 run but not his run in 2000. Cynthia McKinney will come in fifth place receiving 200,000 votes, an improvement for the Green Party from David Cobb’s 120,000 in 2004. Chuck Baldwin will come in a close sixth place with 185,000 votes beating all past vote totals for the Constitution Party.

As for the minor third party’s I expect Alan Keys to bet them all out with about 40,000 votes. I think Gloria La Riva and her new Party for Socialism and Liberation will have the highest vote total out of all the socialist parties. I think Socialist Party USA’s Brian Moore and Social Worker Party’s will both get around 10,000 votes. The Boston Tea Party’s Charles Jay will get about 5,000 votes, most of them write-ins. Prohibition Party Gene Amondson and Objectivist Party Tom Stevens will tie, both winning about 500 votes.